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Online bookmaker sportsbet.com.au has installed Michael Cheika as the $1.66 favourite to be the next coach of the Western Force.
Cheika’s biggest threats look to be current Force defensive coach Phil Blake ($4.00) and former Wallabies assistant coach Tim Lane ($7.00).
Rob Penny and Todd Louden are next in the market at $11 and $13 respectively with former Force assistant John Mulvihill given some chance at $15.
“Michael Cheika looks like the one the Force want but as we saw with Will Genia recently, you just never know,” said sportsbet.com.au’s Ben Hawes.
Former England coach Martin Johnson is a $34 chance to be named coach while current Force lock Nathan Sharpe is an $81 outsider.
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Next coach of the Western Force?
$1.66 Michael Cheika
$4.00 Phil Blake
$7.00 Tim Lane
$11 Rob Penney
$13 Todd Louden
$15 John Mulvihill
$17 Jack Isaac
$21 Jim Williams
$34 Martin Johnson, Brian Smith
$81 Nathan Sharpe
$151 Brendan Cannon
$201 Phil Kearns
He said he’s ready and online bookmaker sportsbet.com.au agrees – Todd Carney will be named NSW five-eighth for Game 1 of the 2012 State of Origin series.
Carney has continued to firm to get the nod as his stellar run of form continues unabated, first a $6.00 chance before being backed into $1.90 and now into $1.14.
“Carney has been the best backed player by far,” sportsbet.com.au’s Ben Hawes said. “There has been interest in the other candidates as well but as Carney has continued to play well, that has cooled off.”
Jamie Soward continues to drift, out to $7.00, as have Jarrod Mullen ($26) and James Maloney ($51). Any other player is priced at $4.50.
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Who will be NSW five-eighth in Game 1 of 2012 State of Origin series?
(prices from Tuesday 10 April)
$1.14 Todd Carney (in from $1.90)
$4.50 Any other player (in from $26)
$7.00 Jamie Soward (out from $3.50)
$26 Jarrod Mullen (out from $8.00)
$51 James Maloney (out from $6.00)
Manly’s Brett Stewart is now equal favourite with online bookmaker sportsbet.com.au to be named New South Wales fullback for Game 1 of the 2012 State of Origin series.
Stewart has firmed from $4.50 into $2.75 after just one game back from injury and joins Canberra’s Josh Dugan, who’s eased out from $1.80, at the top of the market.
Jarryd Hayne and Brett Morris both remain in contention, priced at $5.00 each.
“Brett Stewart showed in his return game from injury just how good he is and if continues that form it will be hard for Ricky Stuart not to pick him,” said sportsbet.com.au’s Ben Hawes.
Any other player is at $15.
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Who will be NSW fullback in Game 1 of 2012 State of Origin series?
(prices in brackets from 23 April)
$2.75 Josh Dugan (out from $1.80)
$2.75 Brett Stewart (in from $4.50)
$5.00 Jarryd Hayne (out from $4.50)
$5.00 Brett Morris (out from $4.50)
$15 Any other player (steady)
Tony Abbott continues to look likely to be our next Prime Minister, with Labor drifting out to their longest odds since the market opened at $4.65 to win the next federal election with online bookmaker sportsbet.com.au.
Labor have drifted from $4.35 to $4.65, while the Coalition have firmed from $1.22 to $1.19 after opening the market at $1.35 in January.
Abbott also looms as a chance to become Prime Minister even before the next election, into $2.90 from $3.00 to get the top job before a vote has even been placed.
“Whether it is now or after the election, there doesn’t look to be much hope for Labor, so either way we think Tony Abbott can start to prepare his acceptance speech,” said sportsbet.com.au’s Shaun Anderson.
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Who will win the next federal election?
Prices in brackets from 30th April
$1.19 Coalition (in from $1.22)
$4.65 Labor (out from $4.35)
Will Tont Abbott become Prime Minister before the next federal election?
Prices in brackets from 30th April
$1.25 No (out from $1.20)
$2.90 Yes (in from $3.00)
Karise Eden and Lakyn Heperi are the new favourites to win The Voice, each firming from $9.00 into $4.50 to take out the competition with online bookmaker sportsbet.com.au.
Early favourite Rachael Leahcar has remained steady at $6.00, while Fatai Veamatahau has moved into $6.50 from $13.
Jimmy Cupples has been the biggest mover overall, into $26 from $81.
“It looked like Mahalia Barnes would be the biggest competition for Rachael Leahcar, but Karise and Lakyn have really put their hands up as a threat and at this stage they deserve to be favourites,” said sportsbet.com.au’s Shaun Anderson.
Seal continues to be the coach most likely to be in charge of the eventual winner, into $2.90 from $3.50.
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The Voice winner
Prices in brackets from 28th April
$4.50 Karise Eden (in from $9.00)
$4.50 Lakyn Heperi (in from $9.00)
$6.00 Rachael Leahcar (in from $8.00)
$6.50 Fatai Veamatahau (in from $13)
$8.00 Diana Rouvas (in from $34)
$10 Darren Percival (in from $17)
$13 Prinnie Stevens (in from $26)
$13 Brittany Cairns (out from $9.00)
$15 Emma Louise Birdsall (out from $13)
$15 Danni Da Ros (in from $51)
$17 Ben Hazelwood (in from $34)
$17 Sam Ludeman (steady)
$21 Adam Martin (in from $34)
$21 Laura Bunting (in from $34)
$21 Jerson Trinidad (steady)
$26 Jimmy Cupples (in from $81)
$26 Chris Sebastian (out from $21)
$26 Casey Withoos (out from $21)
$26 Michelle Serret-Cursio (out from $21)
—————————————- Others quoted
Coach of The Voice winner
Prices in brackets from 28th April
$2.90 Seal (in from $3.50)
$3.00 Joel Madden (in from $3.35)
$4.00 Delta Goodrem (out from $3.75)
$5.50 Keith Urban (out from $4.00)
The RBA’s 50 basis points cut to the official interest rate will be all for nothing according to punters, with online bookmaker sportsbet.com.au offering odds of $1.03 that none of the big four banks will pass the rate cut on in full.
Even for one of the banks to pass on the full cut is seen as a long shot at $6.00, with two banks to pass on the full cut even longer at $11.
For three of the banks to reduce their rates in full has been priced at $21, with all four banks to do it seen as virtually no chance at $41.
“We have seen over the past months that the big banks aren’t afraid to defy the RBA. Given that this cut has been bigger than usual, we don’t see any way that any of the big banks will pass on the rate cut in full,” said sportsbet.com.au’s Shaun Anderson.
While passing on the full cut seems out of the question, the big four banks are expected to move their variable interest rates, with NAB tipped to be the first to move at $2.50.
Westpac ($3.00), ANZ ($3.50) and the Commonwealth Bank ($4.50) have been given some chance, while for none of the big four banks to make any change has been priced at $13.
“The NAB seem to be the ones looking to come across as the good guys, so we expect them to be the first to act.” Said Anderson.
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How many of the big 4 banks will pass on the RBA’s May interest rate cut in full?
$1.03 None
$6.00 Any one bank
$11 Any two banks
$21 Any three banks
$41 All big four banks
Who will be the first big four bank to move their variable interest rate after the RBA May announcement?
He might be a powerful man but online bookmaker sportsbet.com.au says the task of dethroning Treasurer Wayne Swan as the member for Lilley will be too big for Clive Palmer to overcome.
Sportsbet.com.au is tipping Palmer will struggle to even win Liberal National Party pre-selection for the seat of Lilley, pricing ‘No’ he won’t win as the $1.35 favourite with ‘Yes’ he will win pre-selection as the $2.50 outsider.
Should Palmer somehow win pre-selection, his run will end there with Swan the $1.65 favourite to be the member for Lilley after the next election with Palmer at $2.00.
“If he pulls off a miracle and wins pre-selection we’re confident his run will end there but it’s highly unlikely it will even get to that,” said sportsbet.com.au’s Ben Hawes.
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Will Clive Palmer win LNP pre-selection for the seat of Lilley?
$1.35 No
$2.50 Yes
Who will be the member for Lilley after the next election?
$1.65 Wayne Swan (ALP)
$2.00 Clive Palmer (LNP)
$25 Any other candidate
The pressure is once again on Julia Gillard, with online bookmaker sportsbet.com.au drifting her odds from $1.65 to $1.90 to be the leader of the Labor party at the next federal election.
And while Gillard is drifting, Greg Combet has been well supported, into $11 from $23. Kevin Rudd has still been given some chance to reclaim the top job in the Labor party, steady at $4.25 and the second favourite behind Gillard.
“When Gillard defeated Kevin Rudd it appeared a sure thing that she would lead Labor to the next election. But her price has drifted significantly over the past weeks,” said sportsbet.com.au’s Shaun Anderson.
In more Labor betting news, Craig Thomson is not expected to be a Labor MP by the time the Prime Minister calls the next election, priced at $1.10 to not be part of the Labor party and $4.00 to return to Labor.
It also appears unlikely that Peter Slipper will return as Speaker, in from $1.55 to $1.05. Those who think we will can get odds of $5.00.
The bad news continues for Labor, with the Coalition priced as $1.21 favourites to win the next election, with Labor outsiders at $4.35.
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Who will be the Labor leader by the next election?
Prices in brackets from 24th April
$1.90 Julia Gillard (out from $1.65)
$4.25 Kevin Rudd (out from $4.00)
$4.50 Bill Shorten (in from $5.00)
$5.50 Stephen Smith (out from $5.00)
$8.00 Simon Creen (steady)
$11 Greg Combet (in from $23)
$101 Wayne Swan (out from $81)
$101 Chris Bowen (in from $151)
$101 Nicola Roxon (in from $251)
$101 Kate Ellis (in from $251)
$101 Anthony Albanese (in from $501)
$251 Peter Garrett (steady)
Who will be the Coalition leader by the next election?
$1.25 Tony Abbott (steady)
$4.00 Malcolm Turnbull (steady)
$8.00 Joe Hockey (steady)
$41 Andrew Robb (steady)
$41 Chris Pyne (steady)
$41 Scott Morrison (steady)
$51 Stuart Robert (steady)
$67 Julie Bishop (steady)
$101 David Johnston (steady)
$201 Wyatt Roy (steady)
Will Peter Slipper return as Speaker before the next election?
$1.05 No (in from $1.55)
$5.00 Yes (out from $2.00)
Will Craig Thomson be a Labor MP when the Prime Minister calls the election?
$1.10 No
$4.00 Yes
Will Craig Thomson be an MP when the Prime Minister calls the election?
$1.10 Yes
$4.00 No
Which party will be sworn into government after the next election?
Kurtley Beale will wear the number 10 for the Wallabies when they take on Scotland on June 5 says online bookmaker sportsbet.com.au who’ve installed the Melbourne Rebel as the $2.00 favourite to get the nod.
Beale’s biggest opposition comes from NSW Waratah Berrick Barnes at $4.00 while Christian Lealiifano is also in contention at $6.00.
“With James O’Connor out injured, we feel Kurtley is the man to best fill the void right now,” sportsbet.com.au’s Ben Hawes said. “But there is still time for the others to push their cases.”
Mike Harris has been priced as an $11 chance with Dave Harvey and Ben Lucas the $21 outsiders.
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Who will be the Wallaby number 10 versus Scotland?
$2.00 Kurtley Beale
$4.00 Berrick Barnes
$6.00 Christian Lealiifano
$7.00 Any other player
$11 Mike Harris
$21 Dave Harvey, Ben Lucas
Online bookmaker sportsbet.com.au has installed defending champions Sunnybank as the $3.00 favourite for the 2012 Queensland Premier Rugby competition.
It won’t be all one way traffic for Sunnybank though with University of Queensland ($3.50) and Brothers ($4.00) close behind in the market. Easts and GPS are also given some chance, priced at $7.00 each.
“Sunnybank are the team to beat again but the market is tight,” sportsbet.com.au’s Ben Hawes said. “Any of the top five or six teams have realistic chances.”
Rugby Gold Coast, Sunshine Coast and Souths are the $26 outsiders in the market.
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