Gillard Drifts In Labor Leadership Election Betting

The pressure is once again on Julia Gillard, with online bookmaker sportsbet.com.au drifting her odds from $1.65 to $1.90 to be the leader of the Labor party at the next federal election.

And while Gillard is drifting, Greg Combet has been well supported, into $11 from $23. Kevin Rudd has still been given some chance to reclaim the top job in the Labor party, steady at $4.25 and the second favourite behind Gillard.

“When Gillard defeated Kevin Rudd it appeared a sure thing that she would lead Labor to the next election. But her price has drifted significantly over the past weeks,” said sportsbet.com.au’s Shaun Anderson.

In more Labor betting news, Craig Thomson is not expected to be a Labor MP by the time the Prime Minister calls the next election, priced at $1.10 to not be part of the Labor party and $4.00 to return to Labor.

It also appears unlikely that Peter Slipper will return as Speaker, in from $1.55 to $1.05. Those who think we will can get odds of $5.00.

The bad news continues for Labor, with the Coalition priced as $1.21 favourites to win the next election, with Labor outsiders at $4.35.

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Who will be the Labor leader by the next election?

Prices in brackets from 24th April
$1.90 Julia Gillard (out from $1.65)
$4.25 Kevin Rudd (out from $4.00)
$4.50 Bill Shorten (in from $5.00)
$5.50 Stephen Smith (out from $5.00)
$8.00 Simon Creen (steady)
$11 Greg Combet (in from $23)
$101 Wayne Swan (out from $81)
$101 Chris Bowen (in from $151)
$101 Nicola Roxon (in from $251)
$101 Kate Ellis (in from $251)
$101 Anthony Albanese (in from $501)
$251 Peter Garrett (steady)

Who will be the Coalition leader by the next election?

$1.25 Tony Abbott (steady)
$4.00 Malcolm Turnbull (steady)
$8.00 Joe Hockey (steady)
$41 Andrew Robb (steady)
$41 Chris Pyne (steady)
$41 Scott Morrison (steady)
$51 Stuart Robert (steady)
$67 Julie Bishop (steady)
$101 David Johnston (steady)
$201 Wyatt Roy (steady)

Will Peter Slipper return as Speaker before the next election?

$1.05 No (in from $1.55)
$5.00 Yes (out from $2.00)

Will Craig Thomson be a Labor MP when the Prime Minister calls the election?

$1.10 No
$4.00 Yes

Will Craig Thomson be an MP when the Prime Minister calls the election?

$1.10 Yes
$4.00 No

Which party will be sworn into government after the next election?

$1.21 Coalition (steady)
$4.35 Labor (steady)