Election Betting Suggests Wayne Swan Has No Threat From Clive Palmer

He might be a powerful man but online bookmaker sportsbet.com.au says the task of dethroning Treasurer Wayne Swan as the member for Lilley will be too big for Clive Palmer to overcome.

Sportsbet.com.au is tipping Palmer will struggle to even win Liberal National Party pre-selection for the seat of Lilley, pricing ‘No’ he won’t win as the $1.35 favourite with ‘Yes’ he will win pre-selection as the $2.50 outsider.

Should Palmer somehow win pre-selection, his run will end there with Swan the $1.65 favourite to be the member for Lilley after the next election with Palmer at $2.00.

“If he pulls off a miracle and wins pre-selection we’re confident his run will end there but it’s highly unlikely it will even get to that,” said sportsbet.com.au’s Ben Hawes.

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Will Clive Palmer win LNP pre-selection for the seat of Lilley?

$1.35 No
$2.50 Yes

Who will be the member for Lilley after the next election?

$1.65 Wayne Swan (ALP)
$2.00 Clive Palmer (LNP)
$25 Any other candidate